State Pension Funding Improves For First Time in Six Years

Balancing The Account

State pension plans have improved their collective funding ratios for the first time since 2007, according to 2013 data.

From Bloomberg:

The median state system last year had 69.3 percent of the assets needed to meet promised benefits, up from 68.7 percent in 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It was the first increase since the start of the 18-month recession that ravaged retirement assets and led some officials to skip payments as tax revenue sank. Illinois and New Jersey, with the weakest state credit ratings, saw funding levels set new lows for the period.

Buoyed as the Standard & Poor’s 500 index set record highs, the nation’s 100 largest public pensions earned about $448 billion in 2013, the most in at least five years, Census data show. At the same time, governments added a record $95 billion to their plans as they socked away rebounding tax revenue toward obligations to retirees.

“States are playing catch-up — you see more discipline and more public acknowledgment that plans have got to make the required payment every year,” said Eileen Norcross, senior research fellow at George Mason University’s Mercatus Center in Arlington, Virginia.

[…]

The Bloomberg data for 2013, the latest available, underscore the findings in a June report from S&P that said funding levels “have likely bottomed out” and are poised to improve along with climbing stocks.

The S&P 500 index (SPX) rose almost 30 percent last year, the most since 1997, propping up the pensions as the Federal Reserve’s policy of keeping its benchmark interest rate close to zero suppresses debt yields.

But not all states got healthier. The funding statuses of pensions in Illinois and New Jersey have deteriorated further.

Illinois’ funding status dropped from 40.4 percent in 2012 to 39.3 percent in 2013.

New Jersey’s ratio fell from 67.5 percent in 2012 to 64.5 percent in 2013, according to Bloomberg data.

 

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Memphis Fund Ramps Up Risk With New Investment Strategy

Memphis pension investment strategy

It’s been brewing for months, but now the decision is unanimous: the board that governs the City of Memphis Retirement System has decided to turn to a higher-risk investment strategy involving increased allocations toward private equity, hedge funds and foreign stocks and bonds. From the Commercial Appeal:

The Memphis pension board cast a unanimous voice vote Thursday morning to shift hundreds of millions of dollars in retirement assets out of U.S. stocks and bonds and into assets with higher risk and potentially higher rewards, such as international stocks and bonds, and new investments in private equity and hedge funds.

The city would sell a large portion of its U.S. stocks and bonds and increase its holdings of foreign stocks from 22 percent of the portfolio to 31.7 percent. The fund would also invest 13.4 percent of the portfolio in bonds from abroad.

The pension fund would invest 4.4 percent of its portfolio in private equity companies and 4.2 percent of its holdings in hedge funds.

These numbers are “targets” — the actual percentage of investments in each class can change depending on various factors, such as investment performance.

Earlier this summer, the fund approved doubling its real estate allocation—from 5 percent to 10 percent.

Some members of the board wondered what would happen it the strategy turned sour. The Commercial Appeal reports:

“If we went with these changes, what’s the worst case scenario?” pension board member Derek Brassell asked before the vote.

“The worst case is the same worst case we would have with the existing portfolio. So it’s no different than it was before,” responded Lawrence H. Marino, senior vice president with the city’s investment advisory firm Segal Rogerscasey.

“What we’ve done is by diversifying, we can get lower risk with the same return, or we can get higher return with the same risk. Here we’re opting to get higher return with the same risk.”

Other experts had previously advised the fund that, though higher risk was guaranteed, higher returns were not a given.

“Only time will tell,” said Don Fuerst, senior pension fellow at the American Academy of Actuaries.